[{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"ScholarlyArticle","@id":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/global-reserve-currency\/#ScholarlyArticle","mainEntityOfPage":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/global-reserve-currency\/","headline":"World Moving Away From Dollar As Global Reserve Currency","name":"World Moving Away From Dollar As Global Reserve Currency","description":"Global Reserve Currency May No Longer Be US Dollar The issue of when a global reserve currency begins or ends is not an exact science. There are no press releases announcing it, and neither are there big international conferences that end with the signing of treaties and a photo shoot. Nevertheless, we can say with confidence that the historical reign","datePublished":"2017-09-22","dateModified":"2019-01-05","author":{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/author\/scottschaefer\/#Person","name":"Scott Schaefer","url":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/author\/scottschaefer\/","identifier":1,"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0c7620fcde221a0f4437972aa2469795eff47eed4d5266a684162e8dd15664e0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0c7620fcde221a0f4437972aa2469795eff47eed4d5266a684162e8dd15664e0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","height":96,"width":96}},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Global Trade Funding","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/files\/wp-content\/uploads\/Global-Trade-Funding-Text-Logo-220x60.png","url":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/files\/wp-content\/uploads\/Global-Trade-Funding-Text-Logo-220x60.png","width":600,"height":60}},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/files\/wp-content\/uploads\/Global-Reserve-Currency.jpeg","url":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/files\/wp-content\/uploads\/Global-Reserve-Currency.jpeg","height":450,"width":900},"url":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/global-reserve-currency\/","about":["Banking And Finance","Financing","Government","Industry"],"wordCount":1221,"keywords":["china","currency","de-dollarization","global reserve currency","money","money supply","russia","saudi arabia","united states"],"articleBody":"Global Reserve Currency May No Longer Be US DollarThe issue of when a global reserve currency begins or ends is not an exact science. There are no press releases announcing it, and neither are there big international conferences that end with the signing of treaties and a photo shoot. Nevertheless, we can say with confidence that the historical reign of every as a global reserve currency has to come to an end at some point in time.During a changeover from one global reserve currency to another, gold (and to a lesser extent silver) has always played a decisive role. Central banks and governments have long been aware that the dollar has a sell-by date as a global reserve currency. But it has taken until now for the subject to be discussed openly. The fact that the issue has been on the radar of a powerful bank like JP Morgan for at least five years, should give one pause.Questions regarding the global reserve currency are not exactly discussed on CNBC every day. Most mainstream economists avoid the topic like the plague. The issue is too politically charged. However, that doesn’t make it any less important for investors to look for answers. On the contrary. The following questions need to be asked: What indications are there that the world is turning its back on the US dollar? And what are the clues that gold’s role could be strengthened in a new system?The mechanism underlying today’s \u201cdollar standard\u201d is widely known and the term \u201cpetrodollar\u201d describes it well. This system is based on an informal agreement the US and Saudi Arabia arrived at in the mid-1970s. The result of this deal: Oil, and consequently all other important commodities, is traded in US dollars \u2014\u00a0and only in US dollars. Oil producers then \u201crecycle\u201d these \u201cpetrodollars\u201d into US treasuries. This circular flow of dollars has enabled the US to pile up a towering mountain of debt of nearly $20 trillion \u2014\u00a0without having to worry about its own financial stability. At least, until now.For a long time, the basis on which this global reserve currency system rests was poorly documented. Finally, Bloomberg published a comprehensive article in May 2016, which provided detailed confirmation of the agreement that was hitherto only known as a rumor. The fact that this article is published now also represents a subtle clue that there are simmering shifts in the global currency system.The trend becomes ever more tangible and can be described by the following term: de-dollarization. The world is looking for alternatives to the US dollar \u2014\u00a0and is finding them more and more often. At the same time the big oil producers and the largest exporters have stopped accumulating US debt securities. In one sentence: Since 1973 the dollar standard has been based on \u201cusage demand\u201d for dollars \u2014\u00a0they were needed. But when China and Russia find alternatives for their bilateral trading activity, they need fewer dollars. The same applies to European countries which have adopted the euro since 1999.There have been many attempts by various nations to undermine the dollar’s preeminence in recent decades. Some were nipped in the bud by US interventions \u2014\u00a0such as the plan of Iraq’s former dictator Saddam Hussein to sell oil for euros. Or the rumored plan of Libya’s eccentric ruler Muammar al-Gaddafi to issue a pan-African gold currency.Others are less well known, but are indeed continuing to \u201cbubble\u201d below the surface: For example, since 2008, an agreement exists between Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar which provides for the creation of a monetary union. The planned new currency is nicknamed \u2014\u00a0rather unimaginatively \u2014\u00a0the \u201cgulfo.\u201d\u00a0\u201cThe project is inspired by the European Union currency, which is seen as a great success in the Arab world,\u201d\u00a0according to an article by Telegraph journalist Ambrose Evans-Pritchard. He inter alia quotes Nahed Taher, the CEO of Bahrain Gulf One Investment Bank: \u201cThe US dollar has failed. We need to delink from it.\u201d\u00a0However, it appears the plan has been put on hold in recent years. As recently as mid-2013 a statement was issued according to which the common currency was going to be put in place \u201cby 2015 at the latest.\u201d Today it is no longer even talked about. Moreover, other potential members such as the United Arab Emirates or Oman have so far failed to join the club. One should nevertheless keep an eye on developments in the Gulf.A clear signal that something is afoot would be the abolition of the Saudi riyal’s peg to the US dollar. As recently as April of this year economist Nasser Saeedi advised Middle Eastern countries to prepare for a \u201cnew normal\u201d \u2014\u00a0and specifically to review the dollar pegs of their currencies: \u201cBy 2025 it is clear that the center of global economic geography is very much in Asia. What we\u2019ve been living in over the past two decades is a very big shift in the political, economic, and financial geography.\u201dWhile the role of oil-producing countries (and particularly Saudi Arabia) shouldn’t be underestimated, at present the driving forces with regard to de-dollarization are primarily Moscow and Beijing. We want to take a closer look at this process.There exist numerous political statements in this context which leave no room for doubt. The Russians and Chinese are quite open about their views regarding the role of gold in the current phase of the transition. Thus, Russian prime minister Dimitri Medvedev, at the time president of Russia, held a gold coin up to a camera on occasion of the 2008 G8 meeting in Aquila in Italy. Medvedev said that debates over the reserve currency question had become a permanent fixture of the meetings of government leaders.Almost ten years later, the topic of currencies and gold\u00a0is on the Sino-Russian agenda again. In March, Russia’s central bank opened its first office in Beijing. Russia is preparing to place its first renminbi-denominated government bond. Both sides have intensified efforts in recent years to settle bilateral trade not in US dollars, but in rubles and yuan. Gold is considered important by both countries.The gradual move away from the USD to a multi-polar monetary order has several important effects, which only make sense when viewed through this lens. Contrary to what is asserted in most mainstream reports, oil-producing countries are not so much interested in a much higher oil price in USD terms, but rather in competition for market share. They are increasingly able to choose in which currencies they want to trade. The most important effect has become evident since 2014: two of the largest holders of US Treasuries (China and Saudi Arabia) have abandoned their support of Washington DC. On the other hand, oil producers have no interest in recycling their revenues as \u201cpetrodollars.\u201dThe process of moving away from the dollar \u2014\u00a0prepared by Europe and triggered by China and Russia \u2014\u00a0can no longer be stopped. And as a \u201csupra-national\u201d reserve asset, gold plays an important role in it.This article was written by Ronald-Peter\u00a0St\u00f6ferle\u00a0in the Mises Institute. He is managing partner and fund manager at\u00a0Incrementum\u00a0AG, Liechtenstein. He invests using the principles of the Austrian school of economics.Related Articles[fusion_postslider layout=”posts” excerpt=”35″ category=”global-economy” limit=”3″ lightbox=”yes” hide_on_mobile=”medium-visibility,large-visibility” class=”” id=”” \/]"},{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"News","item":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/#breadcrumbitem"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"World Moving Away From Dollar As Global Reserve Currency","item":"https:\/\/globaltradefunding.com\/news\/global-reserve-currency\/#breadcrumbitem"}]}]